Botany
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 49.1% of the top two candidates’ votes (16,323 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 24.5% (at least 8,162 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- over 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Ali Dahche | ACT |
| Anae Neru Leavasa | Labour |
| Christopher LuxonMP for Botany · won here 2020, 2023 | National |
| Craig H. Stobo | NZ First |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- National, 2008
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 4.6 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 0.3 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 16,323 | National |
| 2020 | National | 3,999 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 12,839 | National |
| 2014 | National | 13,495 | National |
| 2011 | National | 10,741 | National |
| 2008 | National | 10,872 | National |