Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Christchurch Central

2023 winner
Labour
2023 runner-up
National
2023 margin
6.3% of the top two candidates’ votes (1,841 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 3.1% (at least 921 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
89%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

65319969,404199910,35320027,836200593520084720112,42020142,871201714,09820201,8412023LabourNationalLabour653’969.4k’9910k’027.8k’05935’0847’112.4k’142.9k’1714k’201.8k’23LabourNationalLabour

Candidates

CandidateParty
Greg ByrnesAlliance Party
Blair AndersonAotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party
Tubby HansenEconomic Euthenics
Kahu CarterList MPGreen
George HamptonLabour
Dale Aotea Stephensrunner-up here 2020, 2023National
Mark Russell ArneilNZ First
Eden SkipperOpportunity
Hayden LaurieIndependent

Seat record

Won each general election since
Labour, 2017
Matched the country’s top party vote
2 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
Party vote vs the country
2.8 points per party on average, 2017–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Labour 5.4 points higher (2023, vs National)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Labour1,841National
2020Labour14,098Labour
2017Labour2,871Labour
2014National2,420National
2011National47National
2008Labour935Labour
2005Labour7,836Labour
2002Labour10,353Labour
1999Labour9,404Labour
1996Labour653Labour