Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Christchurch East

2023 winner
Labour
2023 runner-up
National
2023 margin
8.6% of the top two candidates’ votes (2,397 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 4.2% (at least 1,199 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
93%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

2,958199611,162199914,864200211,97320055,76520085,33420114,07320147,480201717,33620202,3972023Labour3.0k’9611k’9915k’0212k’055.8k’085.3k’114.1k’147.5k’1717k’202.4k’23Labour

Candidates

CandidateParty
Toni SeverinACT
Ethan GulleryAlliance Party
Paula LambertAotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party
Helen HoughtonConservative Party NZ
Teresa ButlerGreen
Reuben John DavidsonMP for Christchurch East · won here 2023Labour
Alexandra DavidsNational
Glenn ThompsonNew Zealand Loyal
Shane WiremuNZ First
David Mueller-CajarNZ Outdoors & Freedom Party
Vikramjit SinghIndependent

Seat record

Won each general election since
Labour, 1996
Matched the country’s top party vote
1 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
Party vote vs the country
3.3 points per party on average, 2017–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Labour 0.2 points lower (2023, vs National)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Labour2,397Labour
2020Labour17,336Labour
2017Labour7,480Labour
2014Labour4,073National
2011Labour5,334National
2008Labour5,765Labour
2005Labour11,973Labour
2002Labour14,864Labour
1999Labour11,162Labour
1996Labour2,958Labour