Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Coromandel

2023 winner
National
2023 runner-up
Labour
2023 margin
52.9% of the top two candidates’ votes (17,349 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 26.4% (at least 8,675 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
NationalAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
over 99%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

2,450199625019995,958200210,578200514,560200812,740201115,801201414,32620173,505202017,3492023NationalGreenNational2.5k’96250’996.0k’0211k’0515k’0813k’1116k’1414k’173.5k’2017k’23NATGreenNational

Candidates

CandidateParty
Mike McCormickACT
Pamela GrealeyGreen
Glen BennettList MPLabour
Scott SimpsonMP for Coromandel · won here 2011–2023National
Vincent AndersenNZ First
Ray CobbNZ Outdoors & Freedom Party
Steven HartIndependent

Seat record

Won each general election since
National, 2002
Matched the country’s top party vote
3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
Party vote vs the country
3.4 points per party on average, 2017–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
National 7.8 points higher (2023, vs Labour)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023National17,349National
2020National3,505Labour
2017National14,326National
2014National15,801National
2011National12,740National
2008National14,560National
2005National10,578National
2002National5,958Labour
1999Green250Labour
1996National2,450National