Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Dunedin

2023 winner
Labour
2023 runner-up
National
2023 margin
30.4% of the top two candidates’ votes (7,980 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 15.2% (at least 3,991 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
over 99%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

15,52120207,9802023Labour16k’208.0k’23Labour

Candidates

CandidateParty
Victor BillotAlliance Party
Adrian McDermottAotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party
Francisco Bagkus HernandezList MPGreen
Rachel BrookingMP for Dunedin · won here 2023Labour
Kristine AsuncionNational
Kym McDonald-KingNZ First
David Bainbridge-ZafarOpportunity
Benedict OngIndependent

Seat record

Won each general election since
Labour, 2020
Matched the country’s top party vote
1 of 2 elections, 2020–2023
Party vote vs the country
5.2 points per party on average, 2020–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Labour 7.5 points higher (2023, vs National)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Labour7,980Labour
2020Labour15,521Labour