Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Henderson

The redrawn 2023 votes put Labour first but give no margin, so the runs cannot vary this seat.

2023 winner (estimate)
Labour
2023 runner-up (estimate)
National
2023 margin (estimate)
—
2023 result
Redrawn to the 2025 boundaries (estimate)
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
—
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

New seat: no earlier results

Candidates

CandidateParty
Nick PeirceACT
Alika WellsGreen
Kelso Papali'iJobseeker Party
Phil TwyfordMP for Te AtatūLabour
Angee NicholasNational
David Ashley WilsonList MPNZ First
Almo WongOpportunity
Kay LuvIndependent
John Divine Paola TalagiIndependent