Kenepuru
- 2023 winner (estimate)
- Labour
- 2023 runner-up (estimate)
- National
- 2023 margin (estimate)
- 22.2%
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the estimate
- More than 11.1%
- 2023 result
- Redrawn to the 2025 boundaries (estimate)
- Assumed for 2026
- LabourAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- over 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
New seat: no earlier results
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Lan PhamList MP | Green |
| Barbara EdmondsMP for Mana | Labour |
| Bob Wessex | NAP |
| Matthew Evetts | National |
| Jon Blackshaw | NZ First |
| Robert Mason | Opportunity |