Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Māngere

2023 winner
Labour
2023 runner-up
National
2023 margin
51.2% of the top two candidates’ votes (11,712 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 25.5% (at least 5,857 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
100%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

9,317199613,047199915,375200216,02020057,126200815,159201114,933201414,597201719,396202011,7122023Labour9.3k’9613k’9915k’0216k’057.1k’0815k’1115k’1415k’1719k’2012k’23Labour

Candidates

CandidateParty
Manu SinghACT
Michel MulipolaGreen
Lemauga Lydia SoseneMP for Māngere · won here 2023Labour
Rosemary Bourkerunner-up here 2023National
Kelvyn AlpNew Zealand Loyal
Vicky HauNZ First
Hine AfeakiNZ Outdoors & Freedom Party
Ben LaneOpportunity
Alani Fisher TaionePeople's Party New Zealand
Timoti Te MokeIndependent

Seat record

Won each general election since
Labour, 1996
Matched the country’s top party vote
1 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
Party vote vs the country
9.2 points per party on average, 2017–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Labour 0.5 points lower (2023, vs National)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Labour11,712Labour
2020Labour19,396Labour
2017Labour14,597Labour
2014Labour14,933Labour
2011Labour15,159Labour
2008Labour7,126Labour
2005Labour16,020Labour
2002Labour15,375Labour
1999Labour13,047Labour
1996Labour9,317Labour