Manurewa
- 2023 winner
- Labour
- 2023 runner-up
- National
- 2023 margin
- 28.0% of the top two candidates’ votes (7,113 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 13.9% (at least 3,557 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- LabourAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- over 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Avalua Tavui | Animal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand |
| Arena WilliamsMP for Manurewa · won here 2020, 2023 | Labour |
| Ghouse Majeed | National |
| Esther Tofilau Tevaga | NZ First |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- Labour, 1996
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 1 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 6.8 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- Labour level (2023, vs National)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Labour | 7,113 | Labour |
| 2020 | Labour | 17,179 | Labour |
| 2017 | Labour | 8,374 | Labour |
| 2014 | Labour | 6,402 | Labour |
| 2011 | Labour | 8,610 | Labour |
| 2008 | Labour | 6,726 | Labour |
| 2005 | Labour | 11,707 | Labour |
| 2002 | Labour | 12,548 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 13,062 | Labour |
| 1996 | Labour | 8,573 | Labour |