Mt Maunganui
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 49.4% of the top two candidates’ votes (15,405 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 24.6% (at least 7,703 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- over 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Cameron LuxtonList MP | ACT |
| Caitlin Grattan | Animal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand |
| Pualele Joan Westhead | Green |
| Rhieve Grey | Labour |
| Tom RutherfordMP for Bay of Plenty · won Bay of Plenty 2023 | National |
| Greer Young | New Zealand Loyal |
| Tracey Coxhead | NZ First |
Seat record
- Predecessor seat
- Bay of Plenty
- Won each general election since
- National, 1996
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 3.8 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 1.6 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 15,405 | National |
| 2020 | National | 3,415 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 13,996 | National |
| 2014 | National | 15,096 | National |
| 2011 | National | 17,760 | National |
| 2008 | National | 17,604 | National |
| 2005 | National | 13,584 | National |
| 2002 | National | 5,597 | Labour |
| 1999 | National | 7,102 | National |
| 1996 | National | 5,153 | National |