Napier
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 26.3% of the top two candidates’ votes (8,909 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 13.1% (at least 4,455 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 88%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| John Ormond | ACT |
| Roy Peter Boonen | Green |
| Alex Hedley | Labour |
| Katie NimonMP for Napier · won here 2023 · runner-up here 2020 | National |
| Te Kira Lawrence | NZ First |
| Graham Wainwright | Independent |
Seat record
- Held since
- National since 2023
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 1.2 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 2.5 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 8,909 | National |
| 2020 | Labour | 5,856 | Labour |
| 2017 | Labour | 5,220 | National |
| 2014 | Labour | 3,850 | National |
| 2011 | National | 3,701 | National |
| 2008 | National | 9,018 | National |
| 2005 | National | 3,591 | National |
| 2002 | Labour | 4,157 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 11,863 | Labour |
| 1996 | Labour | 10,146 | Labour |