Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Ōtāhuhu

2023 winner
Labour
2023 runner-up
National
2023 margin
35.0% of the top two candidates’ votes (7,970 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 17.5% (at least 3,986 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
over 99%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

18,62620207,9702023Labour19k’208.0k’23Labour

Candidates

CandidateParty
Henrietta DevoeACT
Te Whatanui Leka SkipwithGreen
Jenny SalesaMP for Panmure-Ōtāhuhu · won Panmure-Ōtāhuhu 2020, 2023Labour
Lalit AryaNational
John AlcockNew Zealand Loyal
Adam MacRae-MartinOpportunity
Eseta HaungaPeople's Party New Zealand
Karl MokarakaVision New Zealand
Phillip Harry FaleuIndependent
James Gordon RobbIndependent

Seat record

Predecessor seat
Panmure-Ōtāhuhu
Won each general election since
Labour, 2020
Matched the country’s top party vote
1 of 2 elections, 2020–2023
Party vote vs the country
7.0 points per party on average, 2020–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Labour 1.0 points higher (2023, vs National)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Labour7,970Labour
2020Labour18,626Labour