Pakuranga
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 55.9% of the top two candidates’ votes (18,710 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 27.9% (at least 9,356 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- over 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Parmjeet ParmarList MP | ACT |
| Campbell Henry Matthews | Labour |
| Simeon BrownMP for Pakuranga · won here 2017–2023 | National |
| Kevin Huang | Opportunity |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- National, 1996
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 4.9 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 0.1 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 18,710 | National |
| 2020 | National | 10,050 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 14,886 | National |
| 2014 | National | 12,867 | National |
| 2011 | National | 13,846 | National |
| 2008 | National | 13,906 | National |
| 2005 | National | 9,582 | National |
| 2002 | National | 4,556 | Labour |
| 1999 | National | 5,314 | National |
| 1996 | National | 14,504 | National |