Palmerston North
- 2023 winner
- Labour
- 2023 runner-up
- National
- 2023 margin
- 11.2% of the top two candidates’ votes (3,087 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 5.5% (at least 1,544 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- LabourAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 95%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Joshua Moss | Alliance Party |
| Brian Baker | Animal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand |
| Teanau TuionoList MP | Green |
| Tangi UtikereMP for Palmerston North · won here 2020, 2023 | Labour |
| Ankit Bansalrunner-up here 2023 | National |
| Netra Prasad Ghimire | Opportunity |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- Labour, 1996
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 2 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 1.6 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- Labour 7.5 points higher (2023, vs National)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Labour | 3,087 | National |
| 2020 | Labour | 12,508 | Labour |
| 2017 | Labour | 6,392 | Labour |
| 2014 | Labour | 2,212 | National |
| 2011 | Labour | 3,285 | National |
| 2008 | Labour | 1,117 | Labour |
| 2005 | Labour | 5,500 | Labour |
| 2002 | Labour | 7,627 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 13,153 | Labour |
| 1996 | Labour | 11,030 | National |