Papakura
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 39.0% of the top two candidates’ votes (13,519 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 19.4% (at least 6,760 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Malkiat Singh | ACT |
| Angela Dalton | Green |
| Anahila Kanongata'arunner-up here 2020, 2023 | Labour |
| Emma May Chatterton | National |
| Hannah Tamaki | Vision New Zealand |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- National, 2008
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 3.5 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 1.8 points lower (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 13,519 | National |
| 2020 | National | 5,583 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 7,486 | National |
| 2014 | National | 5,119 | National |
| 2011 | National | 9,890 | National |
| 2008 | National | 10,277 | National |