Rangitata
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 31.2% of the top two candidates’ votes (10,846 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 15.6% (at least 5,424 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 95%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Aaron Allred | ACT |
| Karl Thomas | Conservative Party NZ |
| Dave Richards | Green |
| Sange Malama | Labour |
| James MeagerMP for Rangitata · won here 2023 | National |
| Isaac Nicholson | NZ First |
| Kevin McCracken | NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party |
| Matt Harris | Opportunity |
Seat record
- Held since
- National since 2023
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 2.5 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 2.6 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 10,846 | National |
| 2020 | Labour | 4,408 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 6,331 | National |
| 2014 | National | 14,107 | National |
| 2011 | National | 6,537 | National |
| 2008 | National | 8,112 | National |