Rangitīkei
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 34.8% of the top two candidates’ votes (9,785 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 17.4% (at least 4,893 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 96%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Andrew HoggardList MP | ACT |
| Bernard Long | Green |
| Karl Severinsen | Labour |
| Suze RedmayneMP for Rangitīkei · won here 2023 | National |
| Jason Michael Smith | New Zealand Loyal |
| Steve Gibson | NZ First |
| Cedric Backhouse | NZ Outdoors & Freedom Party |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- National, 1996
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 3.0 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 2.0 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 9,785 | National |
| 2020 | National | 2,961 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 10,290 | National |
| 2014 | National | 11,060 | National |
| 2011 | National | 9,382 | National |
| 2008 | National | 12,042 | National |
| 2005 | National | 9,660 | National |
| 2002 | National | 5,315 | Labour |
| 1999 | National | 289 | National |
| 1996 | National | 2,763 | National |