Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Remutaka

2023 winner
Labour
2023 runner-up
National
2023 margin
24.7% of the top two candidates’ votes (8,859 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 12.3% (at least 4,430 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
over 99%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

2,87819968,374199912,61520028,277200575320083,28620116,66420148,609201720,49720208,8592023Labour2.9k’968.4k’9913k’028.3k’05753’083.3k’116.7k’148.6k’1720k’208.9k’23Labour

Candidates

CandidateParty
Nigel ElderACT
Chris NortonGreen
Chris HipkinsMP for Remutaka · won Rimutaka 2008–2017 · won here 2020, 2023Labour
Zabeen LateefNational
Andy FosterList MPNZ First
Luke RossOpportunity
Victor Edward DenchIndependent

Seat record

Won each general election since
Labour, 1996
Matched the country’s top party vote
1 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
Party vote vs the country
2.8 points per party on average, 2017–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Labour 6.7 points higher (2023, vs National)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Labour8,859Labour
2020Labour20,497Labour
2017Labour8,609Labour
2014Labour6,664National
2011Labour3,286National
2008Labour753Labour
2005Labour8,277Labour
2002Labour12,615Labour
1999Labour8,374Labour
1996Labour2,878Labour