Rotorua
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 30.0% of the top two candidates’ votes (8,923 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 14.9% (at least 4,462 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 93%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Fisher Wang | Labour |
| Todd McClayMP for Rotorua · won here 2008–2023 | National |
| Billy Brown | NZ First |
| Finn Liley | Opportunity |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- National, 2008
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 1.9 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 1.8 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 8,923 | National |
| 2020 | National | 825 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 7,901 | National |
| 2014 | National | 7,418 | National |
| 2011 | National | 7,357 | National |
| 2008 | National | 5,065 | National |
| 2005 | Labour | 662 | National |
| 2002 | Labour | 7,744 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 4,978 | Labour |
| 1996 | National | 5,896 | National |