Selwyn
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 45.8% of the top two candidates’ votes (19,782 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 22.8% (at least 9,892 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- over 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Iain Murray | ACT |
| Jesse Luke | Alliance Party |
| Alma de Anda | Green |
| Sunita Gautam | Labour |
| Nicola GriggMP for Selwyn · won here 2020, 2023 | National |
| Elizabeth Mundt | NZ First |
| Adrian Mee | Opportunity |
| Zoran Rakovic | Independent |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- National, 2008
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 4.1 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 0.2 points lower (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 19,782 | National |
| 2020 | National | 4,968 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 19,639 | National |
| 2014 | National | 20,561 | National |
| 2011 | National | 19,451 | National |
| 2008 | National | 11,075 | National |