Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Taieri

2023 winner
Labour
2023 runner-up
National
2023 margin
4.5% of the top two candidates’ votes (1,443 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 2.2% (at least 722 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
LabourAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
88%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

12,39820201,4432023Labour12k’201.4k’23Labour

Candidates

CandidateParty
Robbie ByarsACT
Anna KnightAlliance Party
Scott WillisList MPGreen
Ingrid LearyMP for Taieri · won here 2020, 2023Labour
Matthew Frenchrunner-up here 2023National
Mark PattersonList MPNZ First

Seat record

Won each general election since
Labour, 2020
Matched the country’s top party vote
1 of 2 elections, 2020–2023
Party vote vs the country
2.5 points per party on average, 2020–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Labour 1.8 points higher (2023, vs National)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Labour1,443Labour
2020Labour12,398Labour