Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Takanini

2023 winner
National
2023 runner-up
Labour
2023 margin
25.0% of the top two candidates’ votes (8,775 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 12.5% (at least 4,388 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
NationalAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
86%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

7,72420208,7752023LabourNational since 20237.7k’208.8k’23LabourNational since 2023

Candidates

CandidateParty
Lynley TullochAnimal Justice Party Aotearoa New Zealand
Kharag SinghLabour
Rima NakhleMP for Takanini · won here 2023 · runner-up here 2020National
Paul TeioNew Zealand Loyal
Elliot IkileiNZ First

Seat record

Held since
National since 2023
Matched the country’s top party vote
2 of 2 elections, 2020–2023
Party vote vs the country
3.6 points per party on average, 2020–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
National 2.8 points lower (2023, vs Labour)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023National8,775National
2020Labour7,724Labour