Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Taranaki-King Country

2023 winner
National
2023 runner-up
Labour
2023 margin
40.8% of the top two candidates’ votes (14,355 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 20.4% (at least 7,178 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
NationalAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
99%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

10,22319966,51019997,175200213,118200515,618200815,089201116,773201415,25920173,134202014,3552023National10k’966.5k’997.2k’0213k’0516k’0815k’1117k’1415k’173.1k’2014k’23National

Candidates

CandidateParty
Ivana JovicicACT
Phil McCabeGreen
David PattemoreLabour
Barbara Joan KurigerMP for Taranaki-King Country · won here 2014–2023National
Lee SmithNZ First

Seat record

Won each general election since
National, 1996
Matched the country’s top party vote
3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
Party vote vs the country
4.6 points per party on average, 2017–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
National 2.9 points lower (2023, vs Labour)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023National14,355National
2020National3,134Labour
2017National15,259National
2014National16,773National
2011National15,089National
2008National15,618National
2005National13,118National
2002National7,175National
1999National6,510National
1996National10,223National