Taupō
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 49.7% of the top two candidates’ votes (16,505 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 24.8% (at least 8,253 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- over 99%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Celine Kearney | Green |
| Chris Flatt | Labour |
| Louise Claire UpstonMP for Taupō · won here 2008–2023 | National |
| Gordon Wilson | New Zealand Loyal |
| Sam Plummer | Opportunity |
| Itania Nikolao | Independent |
Seat record
- Won each general election since
- National, 2008
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 3.2 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 7.5 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 16,505 | National |
| 2020 | National | 5,119 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 14,335 | National |
| 2014 | National | 15,046 | National |
| 2011 | National | 14,115 | National |
| 2008 | National | 6,445 | National |
| 2005 | Labour | 1,285 | National |
| 2002 | Labour | 7,128 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 3,578 | Labour |
| 1996 | Labour | 1,574 | National |