Tukituki
- 2023 winner
- National
- 2023 runner-up
- Labour
- 2023 margin
- 29.9% of the top two candidates’ votes (10,118 votes)
- Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
- More than 14.9% (at least 5,060 voters)
- 2023 boundaries
- Old
- Assumed for 2026
- NationalAssumed: held
- Assumed winner’s share of runs
- 93%
- Roll
- General
Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.
Winning majority by election
Candidates
| Candidate | Party |
|---|---|
| Rob Douglas | ACT |
| Romana (Marnz) Manning | Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party |
| Mark Norman Longworth | Green |
| Dan Scott | Labour |
| Catherine WeddMP for Tukituki · won here 2023 | National |
| Taine Randell | NZ First |
| Rachel Ward | Opportunity |
| Grant Seton | Independent |
| Allister David Tosh | Independent |
Seat record
- Held since
- National since 2023
- Matched the country’s top party vote
- 3 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
- Party vote vs the country
- 1.8 points per party on average, 2017–2023
- Winning party: candidate vs party vote
- National 2.9 points higher (2023, vs Labour)
By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.
Seat history
| Year | Won by | Majority | Party vote |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | National | 10,118 | National |
| 2020 | Labour | 1,590 | Labour |
| 2017 | National | 2,813 | National |
| 2014 | National | 6,490 | National |
| 2011 | National | 9,660 | National |
| 2008 | National | 7,811 | National |
| 2005 | National | 2,402 | National |
| 2002 | Labour | 6,410 | Labour |
| 1999 | Labour | 8,646 | Labour |
| 1996 | Labour | 7,226 | National |