Election Bench

New Zealand votes on Saturday 7 November.

Electorates

Wellington North

2023 winner
Green
2023 runner-up
Labour
2023 margin
19.7% of the top two candidates’ votes (6,066 votes)
Voters who’d need to switch to change the 2023 result
More than 9.8% (at least 3,034 voters)
2023 boundaries
Old
Assumed for 2026
GreenAssumed: held
Assumed winner’s share of runs
96%
Roll
General

Poll sampling error plus a typical election-day polling miss: this share of runs is not a forecast of the election.

Winning majority by election

1,86019961,48219994,18120026,18020051,90420086,37620118,26720149,963201718,87820206,0662023ACTLabourGreen1.9k’961.5k’994.2k’026.2k’051.9k’086.4k’118.3k’1410.0k’1719k’206.1k’23ACTLabourGreen

Candidates

CandidateParty
Matthew HagueACT
Joshua HarfordAlliance Party
Michael ApplebyAotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party
Tamatha PaulMP for Wellington Central · won Wellington Central 2023Green
Ayesha VerrallList MPLabour
Jonathan PittsNational
Taylor ArneilNZ First
Jessica HammondOpportunity

Seat record

Predecessor seat
Wellington Central
Held since
Green since 2023
Matched the country’s top party vote
1 of 3 elections, 2017–2023
Party vote vs the country
6.8 points per party on average, 2017–2023
Winning party: candidate vs party vote
Green 0.4 points lower (2023, vs Labour)

By-elections before December 2022 are not shown.

Seat history
YearWon byMajorityParty vote
2023Green6,066Green
2020Labour18,878Labour
2017Labour9,963Labour
2014Labour8,267National
2011Labour6,376National
2008Labour1,904National
2005Labour6,180Labour
2002Labour4,181Labour
1999Labour1,482National
1996ACT1,860National